Post by jamesinclair on Dec 1, 2011 18:40:43 GMT -8
This thread is simply for fun.
Phase 1 construction is finally coming to a close. Time to make bets on when you think the line will open to the public.
Don't just do simple math. Floods, windstorms, locusts, incompetence etc are all valid reasons for further delays.
Entries must be in before December 4th to be eligible for the prize*.
Guesses January 22/23 -bzcat January 29 - jamesinclair, macross287 January 30 - rubbertoe February 28 - outthere15, jdrcrasher March 10 - RMoses March 23 - roadtrainer* April 1 - LAofAnaheim April 15 - Gokhan* August 15 - Philip* 2013 - bzcat attempt 2* March 23 2014 - roadtrainer* March 22 2015 - metrocenter*
I was at the Electric Ry. Historical Assn. meeting tonight; the subject was PE in the San Fernando Valley, commemorating the opening of Red Car service to Van Nuys a hundred years ago today. PE got the line built and running to Van Nuys in about a year, back in the days when construction was done with mule teams and steam shovels. Of course this was done when landowners wanted the line completed so they could make big money subdividing farmland. It was also back in the days when automobiles had just emerged from the "horseless carriage" period, and were not the deadly competitors to railways. We didn't have all the traffic-control systems that seem to be a major part of the delay on this project.
I'll admit I hadn't seen the 12 weeks announcement.
That still seems like it follows the same line of safety reasoning used to give us Farmdale Station.
People appear to be using the term "pre-revenue operations" very liberally. Whatever the 12 week reference to, I'm assuming, is 6 weeks of Metro testing (current testing) and 6 weeks of TRUE pre-revenue testing in order for opening day. Thus, meaning pre-revenue operations won't start until 2nd or 3rd week in January.
Trains were running at 5 minute headways this evening, it was a beautiful sight to see. I have many videos to upload. You'll see them soon!
April 15 seems needlessly pessimistic, considering that there are already LRVs out on the line in pre-pre-revenue, pre-stage 3 testing.
The August date may be right for Culver, depending upon how slow things go.
No such thing as "needlessly pessimistic" regarding Expo. Past experience has shown that everything is delayed and the delayed dates are delayed. For everything. Very little has gone even remotely close to plan. Some things have been so far off plan that you have to wonder if they knew what was involved from the start. If anything Gokhan is being realistic and perhaps even optimistic as we still haven't seen that the Washington junction has been completed.